Tuesday, February 3, 2009

How stock market index is created

I came across a Business Times article If Dow at 8,000 is artificial, where does this leave the STI? The author explains why 8000 seems to be a resilient number. It is because of the fact that the index is spoilt by a few stocks that are not supposed to be there. You can read more about the article from the link.

In this post, I am going to share how a market index can be created. The two commonly ways in which an index can be represented are by capitalization weighted and price weighted calculation of the index stocks. Let us use a fictitious index consisting of just three stocks.

CompanyPrice Outstanding SharesMarket CapitalizationWeightage of stock in cap weighted indexWeightage of stock in price weighted index
ABC$2 2,000,000$4,000,000 25.0%20.0%
DEF$4 1,000,000$4,000,000 25.0%40.0%
XYZ$4 2,000,000$8,000,000 50.0%40.0%

Calculating price weighted index
The summation of price for all the stocks is obtained and then divided by a divisor to obtain the final index value. The divisor is just an arbitrary number that is first defined when the index was created.

Summation of price = $2 + $4 + $4 = $10

Assuming the index is to begin from 1000, a divisor of $0.01 is to be selected in this case.

Calculating capitalization weighted index
The summation of market capitalization for all the stocks is obtained and then divided by a divisor to obtain the final index value. The market capitalization of each stock can be calculated by multiplying the price of each stock with the total number of outstanding shares. The divisor is just an arbitrary number that is first defined when the index was created.

Summation of market capitalization = $4,000,000 + $4,000,000 + $8,000,000 = $16,000,000

Assuming the index is to begin from 1000, a divisor of $16,000 is to be selected in this case.

Effect of price on indices
Now assuming that the price of company DEF increases by 50% to $6, the weightage in the index will be adjusted as follows:

CompanyPrice Outstanding SharesMarket CapitalizationWeightage of stock in cap weighted indexWeightage of stock in price weighted index
ABC$2 2,000,000$4,000,000 22.2%16.7%
DEF$6 1,000,000$6,000,000 33.3%50.0%
XYZ$4 2,000,000$8,000,000 44.4%33.3%

New price weighted index = ($2 + $6 + $4) / $0.01 = 1,200
New capitalization weighted index = ($4,000,000 + $6,000,000 + $8,000,000) / $16,000 = 1,125

From the table you can see that in a price weighted index, price has a big effect on the outcome of the new index. Even though company DEF is smaller than company XYZ in terms of capitalization, it has the highest weightage in the index when computed based on price.

I hope now you have some idea on how the market indices are computed. Just to name some, the Dow Jones and Nikkei 225 are examples of price weighted indices while S&P 500, FTSE 100 and Nasdaq are examples of market capitalization weighted indices.

1 comment:

Mike Dirnt said...

In a price weighted index, the divisor is adjusted when a component stock issues a dividend or undergoes a stock split.

The divisor of a price weighted index does not change when a component stock issues new shares.

In a capitalization weighted index, the divisor is adjusted when a component stock issues new shares.

The divisor of a capitalization weighted index does change when a component stock issues dividend or undergoes a stock split.