Thursday, June 3, 2010

My stocks portfolio - May 2010

Based on total invested capital, my stocks portfolio was down by 10.80% at the end of May 2010. Total portfolio loss adjusted to 3.37% after taking all dividends into account. My holding period return was -7.12% for the month of May 2010 and overall holding period return translates to -1.41% in annualized return since beginning of the year.

There were 5 transactions for the month of May 2010.
Sold Frasers Commercial REIT (FCOT) at -39.7% loss (adjusted for dividends)
Sold First Ship Lease (FSL) at -26.6% loss (adjusted for dividends)
Bought Asia Travel, average price at $0.464
Bought Tiong Seng, average price at $0.260
Bought Design Studio, new average price at $0.616

I sold two of my “F” stocks which were FCOT and FSL. Prior to selling FCOT, the stock was trading at a current dividend yield of 11%. I told myself that at such yield, I won’t be able to recoup my losses with the stock in the next few years. Furthermore on a risk adjusted basis, I don’t think FCOT can trade at a much higher price unless the dividend yield increases significantly in the next few quarters. With limited upside potential and possibility of down side risks in the stock, I decided to sell FCOT.

The other “F” stock which I sold was FSL. On the night before the announcement of vessels cancellation, I actually queued to sell FSL at 60 cents. Then there came the bad news which caused FSL to crash to 56 cents the moment I logged into my trading account. I did not wait any further and decided to sell straight away. Actually that wasn’t the main reason of me divesting FSL shares. The main reason was also on its low dividend yield on a risk adjusted basis. Without adding more new vessels, there is no way FSL can improve its dividend pay out. And going forward, I foresee FSL to raise equity to strengthen its balance sheet. Take note that one of the managements goals is to maintain FSL at a 1:1 (debt:equity) capital structure. At this moment, FSL is already highly leveraged. Also coupled with the twin depreciations in equity value and USD currency, I hope I have made the right decision to divest FSL shares away.

I used up the free cash from the sale of FCOT and FSL to buy shares in Asia Travel and Tiong Seng. The former stock will give me exposure to the tourism industry which was one of the few sectors that was lacking in my portfolio. Asia Travel has fallen by more than 50% from its peak of 84 cents thus I thought it was a good buying opportunity since I have monitored this stock for some time.

The other sector that was lacking in my portfolio was the construction sector. I think Tiong Seng fits to fill up the missing stock in that sector. With its huge order book of close to a billion dollars, I am assured that Tiong Seng construction business will be kept busy for the next few years.

I have also taken advantage from the recent sell down to buy some more shares of Design Studio. The company still has a decent amount of outstanding order book which can cushion their bottom line for the next one or two years. And any new projects that are secured will definitely be a catalyst to its share price movement.

I received total dividends of $1,483.10 for the month of May 2010.

MonthHolding Period ReturnAnnualized Return
Jan-10-1.75%-1.41%
Feb-101.36%
Mar-102.98%
Apr-104.36%
May-10-7.12%

StockModeUnrealised P/L (SGD)StockModeUnrealised P/L (SGD)
ARA CASH16.67%MACQ INT INFRA CASH-51.02%
ARMSTRONGCASH196.00%NEPTUNE ORIENT LINESCASH46.55%
ASIATRAVELCASH-20.26%MERMAIDCASH-32.72%
CAPITACOMMCASH29.11%NOBLE GROUPCASH12.42%
CAPITALANDCASH43.83%PLIFE REIT CASH71.57%
CAPITAMALLS ASIACASH-0.94%RAFFLES EDUCATIONCASH-59.71%
CHINA MILKCASH-67.74%ROTARY ENGRGCASH-8.55%
CITYSPRINGCASH20.45%SATSCASH57.58%
COURAGE MAR CASH-26.59%SGXCASH15.42%
CSE GLOBAL CASH119.79%STARHUBCASH1.33%
DESIGN STUDIOCASH-26.95%ST ENGGCASH36.96%
FIBRECHEM CASH-88.71%TAI SIN CASH-30.60%
FORTUNE REITCASH37.71%TAT HONG CASH14.80%
FRASERSCTCAS19.89%TIONG SENGCASH-5.77%
GENTING SP CASH49.51%UOB-KAY HIAN CASH-21.56%
HEALTHWAYCASH27.12%VICOM CASH43.57%
HG METALCASH-36.31%VANGUARD EMER MRKTSCASH-14.23%
JAYA HLDG CASH-54.85%iSHARES MSCI EAFECASH1.14%
KEPLANDCASH174.45%BH GLOBALCPF-26.29%
KEPPELCORPCASH127.97%COSCOCORPCPF-53.03%
KS ENERGYCASH-27.27%SIAENGGCPF-21.44%

2 comments:

Musicwhiz said...

Hi Mike,

What of Design Studio's impending lawsuit? Could that be a reason the share price was beaten down recently? As a shareholder, what are your views?

Cheers,
Musicwhiz

Mike Dirnt said...

Hi MW,

No doubt the impending lawsuit has pulled Design stock price lower. But where there is uncertainty, thats where opportunity is presented.

1) company has assured that the claim is without substance. furthermore the lawsuit was first launched back in Mar 2009

2) design studio has good display of confidence from major shareholders (depa and prudential). they bought between the first ligitation news broke out and now

3) lastly i will just maintain a small position with design to minimise against potential big losses